Tag Archive 'NFL gambling'

Aug 30 2010

2010 Football Wagering – Planning to Wager on Totals

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Totals in football gambling can be just as lucrative as sides, even though they do not get as much recognition. As you prepare to bet totals in 2010, it’s essential to take a look at the over/under records of teams from last season in NFL football gambling.



Football sports betting totals certainly had some tendencies last season. Since they went over the total 11 times in their 16 regular season matches, the New York Giants were the top over team in the league. Not far behind the Giants were the Philadelphia Eagles and San Diego Chargers who went over in 10 of their 16 matches. There were a handful of other teams that were somewhat more probable to go over the total than under. The Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins, Kansas City Chiefs, Washington Redskins and Pittsburgh Steelers each went over in nine of their matches last season.

Some teams were right at 8-8 when it comes to over/unders. These were the Green Bay Packers, Jacksonville Jaguars, Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions. The New York Jets were just about .500 in sport betting as well at 7-8-1. The Atlanta Falcons, Cleveland Browns, Denver Broncos, New Orleans Saints, Baltimore Ravens, Oakland Raiders, Cincinnati Bengals, St Louis Rams and Seattle Seahawks were just barely going under the total a year ago in nine of their matches. It is intriguing to note among that group that the Saints went under the total more frequently than they went over even though they had a excellent offense. The Cowboys went under in 10 of their 16 regular season matches even though they had a excellent offense as well. Carolina, Chicago, Tampa Bay and Buffalo likewise went under in 10 of their 16 matches.

The top under teams a year ago were the San Francisco 49ers, Arizona Cardinals, Houston Texans and New England Patriots who went under in 11 of their 16 matches.

When you look at last year’s results you find plenty of surprises as high scoring teams like New Orleans, Houston, Dallas and New England all went under the total more than they went over in NFL football gambling. Keep in mind that the odds makers do a solid job of making NFL totals and perception is all of it. In terms of going over the total, high scoring teams frequently do not offer much value.


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Aug 30 2010

New Orleans Saints Threatened by Atlanta Falcons in NFC South Football Wagering

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The Atlanta Falcons could be a real threat to the Super Bowl champion New Orleans Saints in NFC South Football betting this year. Gamblers who make an Football bet have been thinking about the over, and the Falcons have a victory total at the sports books of 10.



The Falcons are the second choice, though Football sports betting prospects still like the Saints to win the NFC South this year. Atlanta has a quite great coaching staff directed by Mike Smith and he has transformed the culture in Atlanta to one of success. Quarterback Matt Ryan and running back Michael Turner lead the offense for the Falcons. Last year wasn’t a fantastic one for Turner as he battled injuries a lot of the year. He should have a major year in 2010 as he is now healthy. The Falcons have a quite great tight end in Tony Gonazlez and a fantastic receiver in Roddy White.

The defense had a few good games last year but injuries were a problem. Defensive tackle Peria Jerry was hurt in week two and missed the remainder of the year. His return should support right end John Abraham who did not have his biggest year in 2009. Curtis Lofton, who should have gotten to the Pro Bowl, is an great linebacker for the Falcons. A secondary that allowed way too many big plays was the problem for Atlanta last year. They rated 28th in the Football against the pass in sport betting. Since they play in the same division as the Saints, that is a serious problem. They are hoping that the signing of Dunta Robinson will improve the secondary.

Last year the Falcons were beset by injuries and they struggled against a hard schedule. Issues should be much better in 2010. The Falcons have a victory total of ten so they would have to win 11 games to go over that total for those placing an Football bet. The Falcons have a winnable opener against Pittsburgh who’s devoid of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. They should beat Arizona prior to going to New Orleans. They sponsor San Francisco and then go to Cleveland and Philadelphia. A 4-2 start is achievable. They have hard home games against Cincinnati and Baltimore but a winnable competition vs Tampa Bay. That would make them 6-3 if they split the games vs the Bengals and Ravens. They have road games at St. Louis, Tampa, Carolina and Seattle. They should win 3 of those 4 which would make them 9-4. Then they would need to win two of their 3 home games vs Green Bay, New Orleans and Carolina to get to 11 wins.


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Aug 28 2010

Will Pacification of Favre Backfire in NFL Wagering?

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The Vikings are still pegged to be 1 of the leading contenders to make the Super Bowl for the 2010 NFL betting season by NFL wagering odds makers. NFL betting online issues about how the team coddled and appeased quarterback Brett Favre continue to be an intangible NFL betting variable that is yet to be played out.



The Minnesota Vikings permitted Favre to skip training camp as well as off season minicamp and workouts for the past two seasons. Both in 2009 and this season, Favre was permitted to stay on his Mississippi farm until the last possible moment.

The Vikings finally sent down three of Favre’s closest teammates to beg him to join the team for the rest of preseason as most Viking authorities do acknowledge that the 40-year old quarterback gives them the best chance to win.

Favre is arriving from his greatest season in years and 1 of the greatest of his complete career in betting football.

The Minnesota Vikings feel they should have beaten the New Orleans Saints in the NFC Championship Game as they plainly outgained the eventual Super Bowl champions but did themselves in with costly turnovers including the most devastating 1 of all when Favre threw a bad interception as the Minnesota Vikings were attempting to drive for the game winning field goal late in the 4th quarter.

The Vikings concluded the 2009 season in the black with the NFL wagering odds but could be a potential overlay in 2010 due to the buzz regarding the team as well as better competition in the NFC.

As the coach reigned in the quarterback who wanted a more wide open attack, Favre is said to be on poor terms with Minnesota head coach Brad Childress. Childress has been very accommodating to Favre, however.

“When the terrain varies, you go with the terrain,” said Childress. “You look and see what a situation calls for and you do it.” As it’s likely to be Favre’s last season and many other essential participants are reaching their peak, the Minnesota Vikings are under pressure to defeat the NFL wagering odds this year.

With the way that the Minnesota Vikings have coddled Favre in their eyes, many experts in NFL wagering fear that there could be a team chemistry difficulty. While plenty of professionals and NFL executives recognize the star system they feel that the Minnesota Vikings took it to a foolish level and that they’ll regret it down the line.


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Aug 28 2010

Football Wagering – Lions See Hope for 2010

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As they’ve got just begun to dig out of the Football wagering sink hole left by Matt Millen, Football wagering expectations have been low for the Lions in the past decade plus. NFL wagering perceptions might be changing for the Lions nevertheless as they continue their rebuilding efforts with a new found optimism that could make them a Football wagering sleeper.



Detroit picked up only 2 games a year ago at the sports book, but that was double their victory total of 2008 as they began their new era with head coach Jim Schwartz and general manager Martin Mayhew, who brought in 2009 number 1 total draft pick Matthew Stafford to be the face of the franchise as the new quarterback.

The Lions feel good about the direction that they’re taking, starting with a tougher attitude that took shape a year ago, although the team acknowledges that they’ve got a long way to go.

“Hope isn’t a strategy,” explained Schwartz. “You need good players. I think what we proved last year is that we weren’t ready to accept sub-par performance. We were willing to make changes and things like that.”

Stafford’s continued improvement will be a key aspect for the Lions and their potential with the online sports wagering prospects. With new additions at receiver with Nate Burleson, tight end with Tony Scheffler, and running back with Jahvid Best, he has a better supporting cast for 2010, although he lost 6 starts as a result of injury a year ago and threw 20 interceptions.

Receiver Calvin Johnson worked relentlessly in the offseason with Stafford, and he wants better results with the Football wagering lines. “We have a lot of weapons this year,” Stafford explained. “It’s up to us to get some rhythm and get it going.”

“We have a big sense of urgency,” explained Schwartz. “I don’t want to say we’ve been patient. We just haven’t deviated from our plan and we haven’t gone too much for immediate gratification.”

The Lions top draft pick for 2010, Ndamukong Suh, the prized defensive tackle from Nebraska, will be another big element, in more ways than 1. Suh has been all business. “I’m treating myself to getting on this field and getting ready,” he explained when asked what he treated himself to after signing his multimillion dollar contract. The Lions sponsor the Cleveland Browns on Saturday, and they split their 1st two Football wagering matchups in the preseason.


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Aug 28 2010

Miami’s Marshall has Fresh Start in NFL Wagering

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NFL gambling expectations are high again for the Miami Dolphins as they are expected to contend for a playoff spot after taking a step back in the 2009 Football wagering season. NFL gambling oddsmakers are pleased with quarterback Chad Henne as he enters 2010 in his 2nd season as starter with a new Football wagering asset in Brandon Marshall.



Marshall arrives in Miami from the Denver Broncos where he frequently clashed with rookie head coach Josh McDaniels a year ago. Marshall arrives with the reputation of having plenty of expertise but also plenty of attitude.

The Miami Dolphins believe the change of venue is what Marshall must have to flourish as a bona fide number 1 receiver and game breaker.

“We think Brandon is one of those special receivers who changes everything around him,” explained Miami head coach Tony Sparano. “I think his approach to the job is tremendous. I really do. As I said before, this guy prepares like a pro, goes hard in practice all the time.” Marshall has impressive numbers to back up the lofty expectations for him this year. For the past 3 years, he has averaged 102 catches and 1236 yards with nearly 8 touchdowns per season. Expectations that Miami can turn a profit with the Football gambling lines this year in sports betting have been raised by that type of production.

“My job with him is to get it out quickly and let him do the work,” Henne explained. “You see how he runs so hard. It doesn’t take much for him to get open and then to do something with the ball on his own.” That being said there’s also the Marshall that has been arrested for assault, domestic violence, driving under the iNFLuence of alcohol along with battery and disorderly conduct. He has at times come off as the perfect example of what NFL commissioner Roger Goodell is attempting to come down on.

With a $47.5 million contract, Marshall is expected to improve Miami’s performance with the Football gambling lines. Yet there are many naysayers that think it’s not a question of if but when he’ll have an additional incident.

For his part, proceeding into the 2010 betting online season Marshall is delighted and has high expectations for his squad and himself.

“This is the first time in four years that I’ve gone into a season or a training camp where I was completely happy,” explained Marshall. “I want to compete at the highest level on a consistent basis.”


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Aug 20 2010

Regular Season May Be Affected by Football Preseason Gambling

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You usually hear in NFL preseason wagering that it really doesn’t matter who wins or loses but is that really correct? Squads that win during the preseason are actually more likely to carry that result into the regular season. NFL preseason prospects do not vary much as the majority of the time the home team is liked by about a field goal.



NFL preseason wagering contains more than a month of competitions. The Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals will play five preseason competitions since they met in the Hall of Fame Game. Does it truly matter to teams like Dallas or Cincinnati if they win in the preseason? The answer that you get from most people is that preseason results do not mean anything but it is not correct.

If you think that the results do matter, then the Dallas Cowboys in particular might be a good bet this year. The team won the Hall of Fame Game as underdogs, and then triumphed in their Week 1 preseason game vs Oakland. Their next game will be Saturday vs the San Diego Chargers. The Cowboys are especially motivated this year by a desire to be the first team in NFL wagering history to sponsor the Super Bowl in their own stadium. This year the Super Bowl is going to be held at Cowboys Stadium, and you can see in the Cowboys’ performance to date how eager they are to be the team playing there this year. And this drive isn’t going to quit with the preseason.

To illustrate how significant preseason records are, let’s look at the Pittsburgh Steelers. In the past eleven years the preseason record of the Pittsburgh Steelers has indicated how they will do in the regular season. A year ago the Pittsburgh Steelers went 3-1 in the preseason and ended 9-7. They actually ought to have been better than that a year ago but they inexplicably lost competitions vs teams like Oakland, Cleveland and Kansas City. Two years ago the Pittsburgh Steelers were 3-1 in the preseason after which they went 12-4 in the regular season and ended up winning the Super Bowl. Three years ago the Pittsburgh Steelers went on to finish 10-6 in the regular season after they went 4-1 in the preseason. Four years ago they went 0-4 and then bumbled to an 8-8 track record and missed the playoffs. The Steelers went 3-1 in 2005 and then went 11-5 during the regular season and won the Super Bowl. For the Pittsburgh Steelers, the preseason has unquestionably mattered.

While you look back at NFL preseason prospects you will see that success and failure does carry over to the regular season. Three years ago there have been only 2 teams that went 0-4 in the preseason. The Rams and Chiefs both went losing and then followed the preseason up by being 3-13 and 4-12 respectively. That year, Green Bay, Tampa Bay, Seattle, New England, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis and San Diego all went 3-1 or greater in the preseason after which they went on to win their divisions.

Success or failure can carry over into the regular season and yes, the preseason does matter.


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Aug 20 2010

Arizona Cardinals in Fighting Mood in NFL Gambling

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Change is in the air, and football gambling oddsmakers do not yet know what to make of the prospects of the Arizona Cardinals for the 2010 football betting season. Football gambling questions abound for the Arizona Cardinals in spite of consecutive playoff seasons as they will be lacking a important football betting asset with the retirement of Kurt Warner.



Warner was a record setting quarterback that is nearly a surety for the Hall of Fame. When he took over for Leinart as the Arizona Cardinals starting quarterback and directed Arizona to the Super Bowl in 2008, he raised from the dead a career that looked dead.

Tension is high in Arizona Cardinals camp as there was a tussle at a practice started by defensive tackle Darnell Dockett and offensive tackle Levi Brown. Leinart threw the ball down in Dockett’s area after Dockett apparently took a swipe at Leinart’s leg. Brown pushed Dockett, shielding his quarterback, and the brawl was on.

Dockett should have thought better than to have a go at Leinart, leading to him to fall. A hands off policy on all quarterbacks, particularly the starters, is pretty clear in preseason practices.

For his part Dockett didn’t truly back down saying that in order to be ready for the season, the Arizona Cardinals must go all out at practice. Arizona is a 2nd choice with the football prospects behind the San Francisco 49ers to win the NFC West.

“You can’t come out here and play 80 percent and hope to win our third division title,” stated Dockett. “It just don’t happen like that. Every day we step on the field, we have to go harder and harder and harder. We got to treat them (teammates) like they’re the 49ers. That’s the only way we are going to be able to back up all the great work and try to win our third title.” In terms of the NFL preseason gambling, training camp fights do not actually mean much of anything. In this case you could wonder why Dockett would take such chances with perhaps injuring the man who’s attempting to fill the quite huge void left by Kurt Warner. Going after his ankles was just plain dangerous. On the flip side, it illustrates that Dockett, and the other competitors involved in the bout, are passionate about their team this season. When gambling on the NFL this season, you want to see that sort of thing. A team who goes all out during practice could be a better choice than NFL picks who are satisfied hanging out on the sidelines and giving only half as good as they’ve got.

Arizona defeated the NFL lines in their preseason starter as they defeated the Houston Texans 19-16 as 3-point home underdogs as the match went over the total of 33. Leinart has vowed to take preseason matches seriously as he gets ready for for the starting job.

“I’m definitely not taking preseason lightly,” stated Leinart. “I don’t think you ever do. I’m going in knowing I’m not going to play a whole lot, but I want to take advantage of those opportunities.” August 23 at Tennessee is Arizona’s next football gambling preseason matchup.


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Aug 20 2010

Are Broncos Busted in NFL Betting?

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NFL wagering doubt is high for the potential of the Denver Broncos who imploded in the second half of last year after a 6-0 start to the 2009 NFL gambling campaign. Injuries and player departures with that second half meltdown of last year that left NFL gambling enthusiasts stunned are fueling NFL wagering doubts about Denver.



There were more than a few raised eyebrows in NFL football betting when Denver opted for 32-year old Josh McDaniels to coach the Denver Broncos after long time mentor Mike Shanahan was let go. McDaniels was greatest referred to as the wunderkind offensive coordinator of the Patriots. He immediately alienated essential veterans including quarterback Jay Cutler and wideout Brandon Marshall. Marshall was let go after the 2009 season following numerous conflicts with McDaniels while Culter was traded soon after McDaniels was chose.

While that wonderful 6-0 launch with the NFL odds temporarily won McDaniels some much necessary credibility it was fast given up with a final record of 8-8 and Denver got the cash in only 3 out of their final 10 games.

The offense now must try and overcome an avalanche of injuries that leave quarterback Kyle Orton highly vulnerable furthermore to having only gone through the transition of player personnel changes. Left tackle Ryan Clady, who was hurt in a pickup basketball match last spring, is one essential loss. A lot of experts doubt Clady can triumph over a patellar tendon blow out, despite the fact that McDaniels expects Clady back. As Clady protects the quarterback’s blind side, it is a essential difficulty.

Orton is passing well in training camp but Denver will not have the ability to defeat the NFL lines unless the receiving corps is healthy. Demaryius Thomas and also Eric Decker are out and Brandon Lloyd is an iffy veteran substitution.

McDaniels is attempting to hold a positive spin on the situation saying that the injuries may end up rallying the squad. “Sometimes, when everybody around you thinks the sky is falling because of injuries, it could rally a team,” stated the coach. “That’s what we are doing. We are going to be motivated to show we can withstand what has happened to us. We’re not sitting here feeling sorry for ourselves.” Tim Tebow, the rookie quarterback who’s gathering so much attention for the squad this season, is also not being ruled out by McDaniels. Tebow sustained a rib injury when plowing into the end zone at the very end of his 1st NFL exhibition match. However, despite missing 2 practices due to the injury, McDaniels has said that he’ll base his decision on whether Tebow plays on how he responds to treatment and rest. However if Tebow is to be the team’s starters, he can not make decisions that risk his body in plays like the one that injured his ribs on Sunday evening. He needs to stay as healthy as he can if he’s going to make a difference for the squad in NFL wagering.

One of the greatest challenges for the Denver Broncos will be putting the 2009 NFL wagering collapse behind them. In total, the major issue is which Denver squad will show up in 2010; the squad that started 6-0 or the one that limped home 2-8?


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Aug 14 2010

$60 Million Package for Chiefs Berry Observed By NFL Gambling Enthusiasts

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Eric Berry has yet to play a down in the NFL or impact NFL wagering odds however the Chiefs signed him to a six-year contract worth up to $60 million. Berry was the 5th in total pick in the NFL Draft and he may be a star player but those who make an NFL bet are surprised by the amount of money being paid to a rookie safety.



NFL wagering odds show the Chiefs as long shots to win the Super Bowl this year. As he was the 1 impact player in the NFL Draft, gaining Eric Berry may be a fantastic move for Kansas City. Having to pay him $60 million however is another story. The NFL has a huge issue with rookie salaries that they have to address and it may be that a lockout will be needed to change the system.

Rookies are gaining way an excessive amount of money in the NFL. It has been this way for years and many NFL owners are sick and tired of it. The Chiefs paid Tyson Jackson a major amount of money as a rookie and he’s done absolutely nothing to date. He is not the only player who did not live up to his major deal. JaMarcus Russell was a huge bust in Oakland but he got millions of dollars from the Raiders before he ever played a down.

You have to shake your head when you genuinely look at the deal that Berry earned from the Chiefs. He is going to be compensated more money than a leading safety like Troy Polamalu who’s already demonstrated himself in the NFL. That isn’t to say that Berry won’t be a great NFL player. He may turn out to be superb in the NFL picks but when participants are paid before they even play a down it’s a bad business decision.

Kansas City is a 70-1 longshot to win the Super Bowl this year nevertheless they do play in a division in which they may win some competitions. The AFC West has the Chargers, Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos and although the Chargers are heavy faves in the division, they’ve yet to do anything in the playoffs. Kansas City may be a squad that is worth choosing with an NFL wager occasionally this year.

The last time the Chiefs went to a Super Bowl was in 1970. Although they won vs the Minnesota Vikings, they haven’t made an appearance, let alone earned a win, in the tournament game since. This is going to be only the second year for new head coach Todd Haley. It was in fact an improvement on the previous season’s totally dismal 2-14 track record when last year the franchise concluded 4-12. They concluded 4-12 in 2007 also, so it will likely be incredible to see them pull ahead this year.

The Chiefs 1st game in the preseason was against Berry’s hometown of Atlanta. Berry got off to a good start when he tackled Atlanta’s Eric Weems on the beginning kickoff, even though Kansas City was defeated with a score of 10-20 by the Falcons.


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Aug 14 2010

Football Odds and Schedule Analysis For New York Jets

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One of the favorites in football probabilities to win Super Bowl XLV this season is the New York Jets. The Jets will be a high profile team in 2010 and they will be preferred a lot in NFL wagering lines. Just how does their agenda set up for this season and how hard is it?



Football probabilities show the Jets as a 9-1 option to win the Super Bowl. NFL wagering anticipation for a substantial season by the Jets is based on their surprise run of a year ago in which they shocked the NFL betting world by making the AFC title competition. Before finally running out of steam as they attempted to win their 3rd sequential road playoff competition and make the Super Bowl for the first time since the 1968 season when Joe Namath headed them to a substantial and legendary upset win as 18 point underdogs against the Colts, the Jets took a substantial lead against the Indianapolis Colts in the AFC tournament showdown.

The Jets made its run a year ago under the direction of bold rookie head coach Rex Ryan, who just barely signed a deal extension. Ryan is sticking his chest out and essentially telling everyone to “bring it on” instead of giving out the standard “coach speak” about the Jets chances this year. A lot of people trust that New York can take the next step this season. Nevertheless, it is not going to be effortless. The Jets start off the season on Monday Night Football as they sponsor the Ravens. The Jets will then sponsor the New England Patriots in Week 2.

The Jets go on the road for division matches against Miami and Buffalo in Weeks 3 and 4. They then sponsor the Minnesota Vikings in Week 5 before going to Denver in Week 6. The only effortless competition in the first couple of months in NFL wagering lines appears to be against Buffalo. The Jets bye comes in Week 7.

As they’ve got at least five matches in prime time and perhaps more if NBC uses them late in the season in their flex part of the agenda, New York will be featured a great deal in prime time this season. The Jets will be on Monday evening 3 times, on NBC at least one time as well as on the NFL Network one time.

The Jets follow up their bye week with a competition at home against Green Bay in Week 8. They then go on the road for matches at Detroit and Cleveland. Week 11 features them sponsoring the Houston Texans as they sponsor Cincinnati the next week. The Jets go to New England for a Monday evening competition in Week 13 and then sponsor the Dolphins in Week 14. Before hosting the regular season finale against Buffalo, New York travels to Pittsburgh in Week 15 and Chicago in Week 16.

The Jets have plenty of talent nevertheless they don’t have much margin for error based on their 2010 agenda. A fast start is a must since the early part of the agenda is hard.


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